Credit Risk Fallout from the Russia-Ukraine Military Conflict
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Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine has sent shockwaves throughout global financial markets. In this webinar, we’ll discuss some of the repercussions on corporate credit risk in the immediate aftermath of the geopolitical crisis using forward-looking credit risk signals from Moody’s Analytics industry-leading credit risk model, known as Expected Default Frequency (EDF™):
» Top country- and industry-level risks stemming from surging energy prices, heightened supply chain risks, and rising inflationary pressure
» Benefits of early warning corporate credit signals and how they flagged Russian and global industry risks before the invasion of Ukraine
» How CDS-Implied EDF measures can provide an alternative view of default risk, especially in times like the current military conflict when equity markets may be closed or have become illiquid
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SpeakersDr. David Hamilton Managing Director, Head of Research & Analytics Moody's
Lily Francus Director - Quantitative Credit Strategy, Predictive Analytics Moody's Analytics
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David Hamilton is a financial economist with a passion for broadening understanding of risk and credit markets. Dr. Hamilton currently serves as Managing Director, Head of Research & Analytics, in the Predictive Analytics team based in New York. From 2015-2020, Dr. Hamilton held the post of Managing Director, Head of Credit Risk Analytics for the Asia Pacific Region, based in Singapore. He has held various senior positions in both Moody’s Investors Service and Moody’s Analytics over his 26-year career with Moody's. He has worked across different asset classes, including corporates, high-yield, financial institutions, sovereigns, public finance, structured finance, and digital assets, and across divisions, including quantitative research, credit policy, business development and customer success. Prior to joining Moody’s in 1997, David worked in the Regional Economics group at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.