Credit Risk Fallout from the Russia-Ukraine Military Conflict

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Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine has sent shockwaves throughout global financial markets. In this webinar, we’ll discuss some of the repercussions on corporate credit risk in the immediate aftermath of the geopolitical crisis using forward-looking credit risk signals from Moody’s Analytics industry-leading credit risk model, known as Expected Default Frequency (EDF™):

»   Top country- and industry-level risks stemming from surging energy prices, heightened supply chain risks, and rising inflationary pressure

»   Benefits of early warning corporate credit signals and how they flagged Russian and global industry risks before the invasion of Ukraine

»   How CDS-Implied EDF measures can provide an alternative view of default risk, especially in times like the current military conflict when equity markets may be closed or have become illiquid


  • Speakers keyboard_arrow_down
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    David Hamilton Managing Director, Head of Credit Insights Moody's
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    Lily Francus Director - Quantitative Credit Strategy, Predictive Analytics Moody's Analytics