Housing’s Next Act
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Home prices in the United States grew during the pandemic as ultra-low mortgage rates stoked demand. Now that rates are rapidly reversing course, homeowners and regulators are increasingly concerned that prices could sharply decline, triggering a wave of foreclosures and higher unemployment.
Join Moody's Analytics expert Economists as they discuss the factors supporting home values, as well as the risks to prices in the short term:
» Newly developed techniques to better measure valuations and speculative activity within local housing markets
» Top risks from home price declines over the next few years by area
» Scenario analysis using Moody’s Analytics Home Price Forecast
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SpeakersCris deRitis Deputy Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
Todd Metcalfe Senior Economist Moody's Analytics
Matthew Walsh Assistant Director, Economist Moody's Analytics
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Cristian deRitis, Deputy Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, specializes in assessing the economy’s impact on household finance, housing, credit markets and public policy. Named on two U.S. patents for credit modeling, he created loss forecasting and stress testing systems for financial institutions. He joined Moody’s in 2008, after serving as a director with Fannie Mae. He also was an adjunct professor of economics at Johns Hopkins University.
Todd Metcalfe is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics. He performs data analysis and forecasting for residential and commercial real estate markets. Previously, he worked on the fiscal team focusing on municipal bond performance and state and local government fiscal issues. Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Todd worked for the Regional Economic Studies Institute at Towson University as a senior economist. There he analyzed the impact of various policies on Maryland’s economy. Todd holds a PhD in social science from Syracuse University, where his dissertation focused on analyzing the impacts of state-level environmental policy. He also earned an MS in agricultural and applied economics from Virginia Tech and a BA in economics from the University of Maryland.
Matthew Walsh is an associate economist at Moody’s Analytics. He covers the economies of Tennessee, Alaska and several U.S. metropolitan areas, as well as Bulgaria and Slovakia. He is also involved in various labor economic consulting projects and has modeled and forecasted housing and demographic dynamics at a block-group level.
Matthew’s most recent research focused on modeling saving rates by demographic cohort. Using data from the Federal Reserve, he creased estimates of saving for different segments of the population, including by income percentile, educational attainment, age cohort, and homeownership status. Matthew has also done research on the economic impact of increased foreign direct investment in Southeast Asian economies from China’s Belt and Road initiative.
He has a bachelor’s degree in mathematical economics from Temple University.