Vehicle prices and auto credit losses
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Auto credit performance remained robust despite strong balance growth over the last two years. However, as credit conditions tighten and used-vehicle prices show signs of weakness, performance has quickly returned to pre-pandemic trends. Is this market normalization or something more? Moody’s Analytics’ forecasts and credit-risk tools can be used to quantify and assess the ever-changing auto market.
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SpeakersMichael Brisson Director, Economic Research Moody's Analytics
Kyle Hillman Associate Director - Research Moody's Analytics
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Michael Brisson is a senior economist and associate director at Moody's. He is the lead auto economist working as a member of the Economic Research group in West Chester PA. Mike works at developing new, empirically driven auto-related products and services. Prior to leading the Moody’s Analytics auto research team, Mike built loan and vintage-level CECL, CCAR, and stress-testing models of consumer loan performance as a member of the Business Analytics group at Moody's Analytics. Additionally, Mike has spent time developing econometric models used by U.S. states and local governments for tax/revenue projections. Mike holds a PhD in applied economics from Northeastern University.
Kyle Hillman is an economist with the Business Analytics group of Moody’s Analytics in West Chester PA. Kyle works on consumer credit modeling and analysis with CreditForecast.com, has built stress-testing models of consumer loan performance for various consulting projects, and contributes commentary pieces covering trends in multiple credit markets. He also has experience working on the U.S. macroeconomic forecast and alternative scenario teams. After graduating from Saint Joseph’s University with a bachelor’s degree in economics and philosophy, Kyle received his master’s degree in economics from Temple University.