Credit Trends - France

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A New Era: Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?

A New Era: Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?

Explore France's economic tensions and credit risks in the context of geopolitical risks and the energy crisis.  
Join the in-person event where you will get more clarity on how global themes will play out as the new era unfolds.

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09:00 - 09:30

Registration & Networking

09:35 - 10:35

Credit Conditions ​

Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?  

  • Will inflation fall back in 2023? Will expectations become de-anchored from central banks' targets?  
  • Will higher net interest income for banks compensate for slower economic growth and higher loan losses?
  • How will high energy prices, higher cost of living and concerns over security of supply impact corporates?
  • Which industries will suffer the greatest collateral damage from the current credit challenges?
10:35 - 10:55

Default & Rating Trends ​

Defaults and ratings as the credit cycle has turned

  • Rating: Will downgrades continue surpassing upgrades?
  • How are defaults expected to evolve in 2023?
  • Are risks well signaled?
10:55 - 11:25

Networking & Coffee Break

11:25 - 12:05

Keynote Interview with Jeromin Zettelmeyer, Bruegel

Europe’s economy and institutions to the test

  • Energy crisis: Has the worst been avoided for good or for now? Has the crisis policy response been effective?
  • Fiscal and debt sustainability: What prospects for European governments?
  • Fiscal framework reform: Will Europe turn two successive crises in an opportunity?
12:05 - 12:40

Climate ​& Net Zero

How will net zero pledges and climate risks reshape economies and capital markets?

  • How does Moody’s analyse transition readiness for companies worldwide? 
  • Why does transition risk matter for credit?
  • How will greater disclosure requirements and data availability help quantify the impact of climate risk on financial markets and the real economy?
12:40 - 13:15

Networking Lunch


Close of the Event

Jeromin Zettelmeyer Director Bruegel Bio
Marie Diron Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Moody's Ratings Bio
Colin Ellis Managing Director, Global Credit Strategist Moody's Ratings Bio
Sarah Carlson Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service Bio
Alain Laurin Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings Bio
Yasmina Serghini Managing Director, Corporate Finance Moody's Ratings Bio
Olivier Panis Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings Bio
Paul Marty Associate Managing Director, Infrastructure Finance Moody's Investors Service Bio
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy & Research Moody's Investors Service Bio
Rahul Ghosh Managing Director – Sustainable Finance Moody’s Ratings Bio

Event Details:

Venue Name: Pavillon Gabriel - Potel et Chabot

Address: 5 Av. Gabriel, 75008 Paris, France

Date: Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Time: 09:00 - 13:15 CET