Will the Consumer Firewall Hold?
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Consumers are the firewall between recession and continued economic growth. The firewall has been under siege by the high inflation and rising interest rates, but it continues to hold. Consumers aren’t spending with abandon, but they are doing their part. Given the sturdy job market, low leverage, high asset values, and excess saving, prospects are good this will continue.
Join our panel of experts as they take a deeper dive into the impact of consumer spending.
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SpeakersMark Zandi Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
Cris deRitis Deputy Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
Scott Hoyt Senior Director - Economic Research Moody's
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Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi cofounded Economy.com, which Moody’s purchased in 2005.
Dr. Zandi is on the board of directors of MGIC, the nation’s largest private mortgage insurance company, is the lead director of PolicyMap, a data visualization and analytics company used by policymakers and commercial businesses, and is a director of the Coleridge Initiative, a nonprofit that facilitates the exchange of data across governments.
He is a trusted adviser to policymakers and an influential source of economic analysis for businesses, journalists and the public. Dr. Zandi frequently testifies before Congress and conducts regular briefings on the economy for corporate boards, trade associations and policymakers at all levels.
Dr. Zandi is the author of Paying the Price: Ending the Great Recession and Beginning a New American Century, which assesses the monetary and fiscal policy response to the Great Recession. His other book, Financial Shock: A 360º Look at the Subprime Mortgage Implosion, and How to Avoid the Next Financial Crisis, is described by The New York Times as the “clearest guide” to the financial crisis. Dr. Zandi is host of the Inside Economics podcast.
Dr. Zandi earned his BS from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania.
Cristian deRitis, Deputy Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, specializes in assessing the economy’s impact on household finance, housing, credit markets and public policy. Named on two U.S. patents for credit modeling, he created loss forecasting and stress testing systems for financial institutions. He joined Moody’s in 2008, after serving as a director with Fannie Mae. He also was an adjunct professor of economics at Johns Hopkins University.
Scott Hoyt is senior director for Moody’s, responsible for the firm’s consumer forecasts and analysis. Dr. Hoyt contributes to Economic View, speaks at conferences, and oversees the production of the U.S. economic forecast. He has done custom modeling for credit and consumer sector clients. His projects include estimating market size geographically for several large retail clients, analysis of spending by demographic groups and implications for the spending outlook, credit portfolio modeling, and delinquency and loss modeling. His areas of expertise include consumer spending, retail sales and industry performance, consumer credit, household income, demographics, and other aspects of consumer behavior and its macroeconomic and industry implications.
Before joining Moody’s Analytics, Dr. Hoyt spent five years as an economist for J.C. Penney, where he did extensive work supporting the company's strategic planning efforts, real estate research department, merchandise departments, and credit department. He received his PhD and MA in economics from the University of Pennsylvania and his BA summa cum laude from Bates College.