Topics for discussion:
- How tight are financial conditions in the wake of banking stress? Will banking stress stop the rate hikes?
- Is a recession in the US and the euro area imminent? Will labor market strength complicate the inflation outlook?
- How sustainable is China’s recovery? How will emerging markets weather tighter financial conditions?
- What is our forecast for corporate and sovereign default rates?
- What is the outlook for leveraged finance and private credit?
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SpeakersElena Duggar Chief Credit Officer - Americas, Managing Director, Credit Strategy and Guidance Moody's Ratings
Christina Padgett Head of US Leveraged Finance Moody's Ratings
Madhavi Bokil Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy and Guidance Moody's Ratings
Claire Li Vice President - Senior Analyst, Credit Strategy and Guidance Moody's Ratings
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Elena Duggar is Moody’s Chief Credit Officer for the Americas, and a Managing Director in the Credit Strategy & Research team. Elena is also the Chair of Moody’s Macroeconomic Board, which sets the global macroeconomic forecasts underpinning Moody’s universe of ratings.
In her role leading the North and Latin America Credit Strategy & Research teams and the Global Macroeconomic Research team, Elena is responsible for forming house views on emerging risks, driving cross-functional alignment on key credit factors, coordinating rating approach across sectors in the Americas, and maintaining rigor in analytic frameworks.
Elena leads major cross-sector outreach and research initiatives, such as Moody’s Global Credit Conditions Outlook, Global Macroeconomic Outlook, Debt after COVID and Global Trade Monitor, along with thematic research on macro, sovereign, demographics and financial risk topics. Elena represents Moody’s at the IIF Committee for Sovereign Risk Management and the IIF Principles Consultative Group for the Principles for Stable Capital Flows and Fair Debt Restructuring.
Elena has served as Chair of Moody’s Macroeconomic Board since 2016 and prior to that served as Moody’s Group Credit Officer for Sovereign Risk, covering the global sovereign ratings portfolio. She is a globally-recognized expert on sovereign defaults and the author of market leading sovereign credit research, including Moody’s Sovereign Defaults series. For example, her research on the role of holdouts in sovereign debt restructurings was cited as expert evidence in the landmark 2015 US Supreme Court case on Argentina. Elena regularly represents Moody’s macro and credit views with external audiences, including senior policymakers, international organizations such as the UN, IMF and IIF, think tanks, academia, regulators and investors. Elena’s research is frequently cited in the WSJ, the FT, Bloomberg, Reuters and leading financial media.
Elena joined Moody’s in 2007 and previously was an Economist at the IMF. She holds a B.A. in Economics from Bates College and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
Christina Padgett leads the Leveraged Finance Research and Analytics Team and Private Credit Research. Her remit includes facilitating in-depth, cross-disciplinary research on credit trends in the US leveraged finance, US private equity and global private markets. Ms. Padgett brings multi-cycle expertise in the credit markets to her role, which is informed by frequent meetings with issuers, investors, regulators, alternative asset managers, and bankers. She presents often at industry conferences and is regularly quoted in the financial media.
Before joining Moody’s, Ms. Padgett was an M&A investment banker at JPMorgan Chase. At the bank, she also worked in Europe Corporate Finance and Credit Audit following the completion of the bank’s credit training program.
Ms. Padgett received a M.A. in International Political Economy from Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, and a B.A. in History from William Smith College.
Madhavi Bokil is a Senior Vice President, heading the Macro Research Team of the Credit Strategy and Standards Group. She is a member of Moody’s Macro Board and the lead author of Moody’s Global Macroeconomic Outlook.
Before joining Moody’s Ratings Madhavi held positions as Senior Economist at AIG and GE Capital, undertaking global macroeconomic analysis, forecasting and CCAR stress testing. Prior to that she held a faculty position in the Department of Economics at Clark University, where she pursued research in and taught International Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics. She holds a BA in Economics from Fergusson College, Pune, India, a MA in Economics from the University of Mumbai, India and a PhD in International Economics from the University of California at Santa Cruz.
Claire Li, Vice President of Credit Strategy at Moody's Ratings. Claire is responsible for forming house views on macro and thematic topics and emerging risks, driving cross-functional alignment on key credit factors, coordinating rating approaches across sectors in North America. She is the author of Moody's recurring State of the US Consumer research series and oversees a broad thematic research agenda that translates macro and policy developments into actionable credit perspectives.
Claire holds an M.A. in Economics from New York University, is a Certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM).