Q3 2023 CRE Quarterly Economic Briefing
Battening the Hatches for a Slower Growth 2024
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The third quarter economic data was an upside surprise for most. But instead of that instilling confidence in the CRE industry, concern regarding "higher for longer" in terms of interest rates is increasing the likelihood of refinance trouble for well into 2024.
Please join Moody's Analytics CRE General Manager Luis Amador as he interviews economic experts Dr. Thomas LaSalvia, Kevin Fagan, and Lu Chen as they share third quarter data, discuss the latest economic and CRE trends, and further explore how much further the CRE industry may fall.
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SpeakersLuis Amador General Manager-Commercial Real Estate Moody's
Thomas LaSalvia, PhD Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics Moody's
Kevin Fagan Senior Director, Head of CRE Economic Analysis Moody's
Lu Chen Senior Economist Moody's
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Thomas P LaSalvia, Ph.D. is the Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody's Analytics. Thomas, a former professor, brings his pedagogical prowess to his extensive research into the marketplace, with a specific focus on the multifamily sector. His work is frequently published in a variety of periodicals, and he spends a vast amount of time presenting his findings to a variety of industry and academic professionals. Prior to joining Moody's Analytics, he served in a consulting role for the firm while teaching classes in foundational economics and urban economics at The College of William & Mary.
Kevin is a senior director and Head of CRE Economic Analysis at Moody’s, responsible for research, thought leadership and strategic initiatives for the Moody's CRE group, with a focus on capital markets and climate risks. He’s the industry member chair of the Commercial Real Estate Finance Council ESG and Sustainability Initiative. He was formerly director of CRE and CMBS research in the Moody’s Investors Service. Prior to joining Moody’s, Kevin held CRE research roles at ING Clarion and Jones Lang LaSalle. He also practiced as a structural engineer, designing large scale commercial buildings in California. Kevin holds an MS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a BS from the University of Texas at Austin.
Lu Chen is a Senior Economist at Moody’s Analytics specializing in Commercial Real Estate. She has worked in the commercial real estate industry in customer success capacity for over a decade. Lu has deep knowledge in urban economics and credit risk, with special focus on Texas market performance, senior housing, and urban migration.