- Economic growth remains solid but is slowing, with downside risks predominating.
- Consumer strength—and the broader economy—is underpinned by asset gains and persistent affluence, supported in part by AI-driven investment.
- Consumer credit will weaken in 2026 as the labor market softens and real income growth slows.
- AI’s potential is a driver of slower job growth, even as current productivity gains remain modest.
If you have any questions, please contact
jun.li@moodys.com.
Speakers
Warren Kornfeld
Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions
Moody's Ratings
Charleyne Biondi
VP - Senior Analyst, Digital Economy
Moody's Ratings
Madhavi Bokil
Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy and Guidance
Moody's Ratings
Scott Hoyt
Senior Director - Economic Research
Moody's
Mark Risi
Associate Managing Director, US RMBS Surveillance
Moody's Ratings
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