Slowdown in China’s medium-term growth and credit implications across sectors
As China resets its growth to a slower pace over the medium term, how will the likely slowdown hit sectors across the economy? Join our webinar to hear the potential downside scenarios of China’s economic growth and the potential credit implications.
Discussion Topics:
- What are the short-term headwinds for the economy?
- Is the current slowdown cyclical or structural?
- How much lower could growth fall in the medium term?
- Which sectors will be more challenged in a downside scenario?
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SpeakersLivia Yap Assistant Vice President - Research Writer Moody's Investors Service
Kaven Tsang Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Moody's Ratings
Nicholas Zhu Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings
Jin Wu Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group Moody's Investors Service
Martin Petch Vice President - Senior Credit Officer Moody's Investors Service
Lillian Li Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Standards Moody's Ratings
Yubin Fu Vice President - Senior Analyst, Sub-Sovereign Group Moody's Ratings
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Livia Yap is the China Editor in the Emerging Markets & China section at Moody’s Investors Service. Based in Singapore, she is also a Research Writer with the Corporate Finance Group.
Before joining Moody’s in 2021, Livia was a reporter at Bloomberg News covering financial markets across the Asia-Pacific region including Greater China, Singapore, Japan and Australia.
Livia holds a bachelor’s degree in Journalism and Global Studies from the University of Hong Kong.
Kaven Tsang is a Senior Vice President in Moody’s Corporate Finance Group in Asia Pacific. Based in Hong Kong, Kaven covers a portfolio of property companies.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Kaven worked in commercial banks, including CITIC Ka Wah Bank, WestLB AG and the Norinchukin Bank, covering corporates in Hong Kong and China.
Kaven holds a Master of Business Administration and a Bachelor of Business Administration from The Chinese University of Hong Kong. He is also a CFA charterholder.
Based in Beijing, Nicholas supports cross-border rating activities of Chinese banks. Previously, he was Moody’s key point of contact on the Chinese regional and local government sector.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Nicholas advised the Asian Development Bank on various China banking initiatives. He has extensive credit experience, having worked at HSBC, Standard Chartered and ANZ on a range of sectors and issues related to risk assessment for Basel II and other regulatory frameworks. Earlier in his career he was a senior economist with the World Bank.
Nicholas holds a Ph. D. in International Finance and M.A. in Economics from Georgetown University, and a B.S. in Mathematical Statistics from Sichuan University. He is also a CFA charter-holder.
Jin Wu is a Vice President-Senior Analyst in the basic industries team in New York. He covers a portfolio of high-yield and investment grade chemical companies, conducts fundamental credit analysis and publishes issuer and sector research.
Prior to Jin’s current role, he supported ratings and research for a portfolio of APAC companies with focus on chemicals and metals & mining industries in Moody’s Shanghai office. Before that, Jin conducted corporate credit research and financial analysis at various financial institutions in the US, including Genworth Financial, Capital One, and Washington Mutual (now JP Morgan). Jin has covered sectors including basic industries, construction, utilities, telecommunications, media and technology, and financial.
Jin holds an MBA from the University of Washington's Foster School of Business, and a Bachelor’s degree from China’s Foreign Affairs University. He is also a CFA charterholder.
Martin Petch is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer with Moody’s SovereignRisk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific region – including China, Australia, Hong Kong - as well as credits in Central Asia and the Caucasus.
Martin joined Moody’s in 2017, after working as the Manager of Economic Analysis and Research with BHP Billiton covering its key commodity markets, China, Japan and India, economies in the South East Asian region, and the major advanced economies. Martin also held various positions with the Australian Commonwealth Treasury,the Commonwealth Bank and the Australian Industry Group. Martin was a graduate in Economics from the University of Western Australia
Lillian Li is a Vice President–Senior Credit Officer in the Credit Strategy and Standards Group.
Based in Shanghai, Lillian contributes to thematic research on China, Japan and Korea, particularly with a cross-sectoral and macroeconomic credit focus. Lillian also drives and coordinates research initiatives covering major regional credit events.
Lillian’s role includes designing scenario analysis to test the resilience of credit ratings to a range of potential economic outcomes, as well as developing research publications on macro and credit trends and general market outreach for Great China.
Lillian joined Moody’s after eight years with the McKinsey Global Institute, where she led China macro-related research, including trends related to the macroeconomy, local government debt, as well as urbanization and sustainability. Lillian was also involved in analyzing the real estate, steel, auto and internet retail sectors.
Prior to joining McKinsey, Lillian was an Economic Analyst with the Canadian government’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
Lillian holds a Masters in Economics from the University of Ottawa and an MBA from the University of Warwick.
Yubin Fu is a Vice President and Senior Analyst in Moody’s Sub-Sovereign Group. Based in Shanghai, Yubin is responsible for covering a portfolio of China’s regional and local governments. She’s also involved in the rating and research of Chinese local state-owned enterprises, in particular local government financing vehicles.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Yubin has more than 10 years’ experience in producing global macroeconomic and commodity research, working in analytical roles at various investment banks in London, including Goldman Sachs, Macquarie Group and JP Morgan. Yubin holds a Master’s degree in Communication and Bachelor’s degree in Economics, both from Peking University.