Credit Trends 2025
For more than a decade, the Credit Trends events series has explored global credit risks and how these distill into key local markets.
Drivers of these risks will be explored alongside key themes and the credit fundamentals shaping sectors, countries and regions.
Overview
The Credit Trends event series is your go-to forum for interpreting market trends and assessing future credit risks. Kick off 2025 with insights into the new normal macroeconomic conditions and their market impact. Join our in-person and virtual events to engage with our credit analysts and market experts.
We are hosting 10 events over 8 weeks, including three virtual editions for the Americas, Europe, and APAC, and seven in-person events in Europe. Whether you’re a seasoned investor, financial professional, or someone keen on understanding credit markets, don’t miss our flagship annual series.
Get access to new analysis and data, uncover the factors driving these risks, along with key themes and credit fundamentals affecting the different sectors, countries, and regions.
Get a head start for 2025!Why Attend?
Dive into Moody’s Data
Interact with Leading Analysts
Kickstart 2025 with Key Insights
SERIES SCHEDULE
Speakers
Michelangelo Margaria
Country Manager – Italy; Associate Managing Director, Structured Finance Group
Moody's Ratings
Lucia Lopez
Senior Vice President, RTG
Moody's Raitings
In Person Events
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Colin Ellis is Moody’s first Global Credit Strategist, and a Managing Director in the Credit Strategy team.
In his current role, Colin provides thought leadership for the rating agency that deepens the understanding of ratings and debt capital markets through rigorous and quantitative research. He leads Moody’s teams working on default and ratings analytics and on global financial analysis, including bank projections and stress testing. Colin is also a member of Moody’s Macroeconomic Board, which sets the global forecasts that underpin Moody’s universe of ratings.
Colin joined Moody’s in February 2012, initially leading the work of the Macroeconomic Board and authoring the quarterly Global Macro Outlook. He subsequently worked in the Financial Institutions Group, developing quantitative forward-looking analyses. For 8 years he was the Chief Credit Officer for EMEA, leading analysis and coordination of credit and ratings across all rating franchises in the region. He was also the ‘Head of UK’ for Moody's Ratings, responsible for the running of Moody’s UK operations, from 2019-2022 including the COVID-19 pandemic.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Colin held roles at the Bank of England, Daiwa Capital Markets, the BVCA and at Birmingham University. He has published papers on a range of topics including corporate investment and pricing, credit risk, private equity, data uncertainty, stress testing, financial contagion and monetary policy. Colin holds degrees from York University, the London School of Economics and Political Science, and Middlesex University. He is a Visiting Professor at Hult International Business School and LSBU, and is also a Fellow of the RSA.
Yasmina Serghini is a Managing Director in Moody’s Rating's Corporate Finance Group. She manages the teams in Madrid, Milan and Paris that are responsible for investment grade and high yield companies primarily in the TMT, retail, pharmaceutical, healthcare, food, packaged goods, railways and postal services industries.
Since joining Moody’s in 2005, Yasmina has been in charge of the credit ratings of automotive and truck manufacturers, retail, consumer packaged goods companies, including beverages and business services companies. Prior to joining Moody’s, Yasmina worked for Caisse Nationale des Caisses d’Epargne as a credit risk analyst where she had responsibilities for the analysis of companies mainly in the airlines, telecoms and real estate industries as well as aircraft and shipping financings. Yasmina is a CFA charterholder.
She holds a Postgraduate Diploma (“DESS”) in Finance from Institut d’Etudes Politiques de Paris and has a university degree (majoring in Finance) from Dauphine University (Paris). She is fluent in English, French and Moroccan.
Karen joined Moody's in 2004 in its New York office, where she worked as a corporate
credit analyst for over 10 years, primarily focused on leveraged finance, before
transferring to Moody's methodology development group. In that role she lead and
contributed to the development of methodologies across ratings groups and industry
sectors and established the group's presence in Europe with her move to Frankfurt in
February 2018. She returned to CFG as an Associate Managing Director in September
2021.
Prior to Moody’s, Karen worked at a high yield brokerdealer, at National Australia
Bank Limited, and in market research for Barron’s magazine. She also participated in a
volunteer service program in Kingston, Jamaica, for one year. Karen graduated magna
cum laude from The University of Notre Dame with a B.A. in English. She is a CFA
charterholder.
Leroy Terrelonge is a Vice President – Senior Analyst in the Moody's Ratings Cyber Risk Group, where he is responsible for creating and executing a cyber-risk analytics and research agenda. He works collaboratively with stakeholders across Moody’s to build cyber datasets and publish timely and relevant research on cyber risk and its impact on financial performance.
Leroy has more than 20 years of risk experience working in government, international education, tech startups and corporates. Prior to joining Moody’s, Leroy led a team of analysts at Flashpoint, a threat intelligence company that researches cyber criminal communities, and previously worked as an analyst at the National Security Agency.
He has been cited in both domestic and international media on cyber risk issues and has presented at cybersecurity conferences around the world. Leroy graduated from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy with a Masters in International Business and holds an A.B. in Near Eastern Languages and Civilizations cum laude from Harvard University. He also served as a Princeton-in-Asia fellow in Almaty, Kazakhstan.
Juan Pablo Soriano joined Moody’s Investors Service in London in 1994. He is currently based in Madrid as Managing Director of EMEA Covered Bonds and global Covered Bond coordinator. He is also the country manager for Spain and Portugal. Prior to joining Moody’s, Mr Soriano had various responsibilities first at a Stock Broker Agency and then in the New York branch of the Banco Central Hispanoamericano back in 1988, holding diverse positions as Money Market Manager, Assistant Vice President in the Loan & Investment Department and Vice President in the Trade Finance Department. In 1993 he was transferred to Madrid as Vice-President of the Fixed Income Department. Mr Soriano is a graduate in Law by the Universidad Complutense of Madrid, Spain, and holds an MBA in Finance by the Leonard Stern School of Business (NYU). |
Laura Perez Martinez is Moody’s Chief Credit Officer in the EU, and an Associate Managing Director in the Credit Strategy team. In her CCO role, Laura is responsible for identifying and analysing the broad macro and credit trends, and leading and coordinating Moody’s ratings approach, across franchises in the region. Laura joined Moody’s in 2008 in London, where she worked as a senior credit analyst, covering leading European financial institutions. She relocated to Madrid in September 2016 to join the corporate finance team. Before joining Moody’s, Laura worked for AM Best covering European insurers. Laura holds a B.A. in Business Administration from University of Oviedo in Spain, and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). |
Michelangelo Margaria is an Associate Managing Director with Moody’s Structured Finance Group and is based in the Milan office.
He co-leads the Consumer Surveillance team in the EMEA region and coordinates the Structured Finance activity in the Italian market. Previously, he co-lead the EMEA RMBS team and was a senior analyst rating securitization transactions backed by different asset classes in various EMEA jurisdictions.
Michelangelo Margaria also serves as Moody’s Ratings Country Manager for Italy, overseeing Moody's Ratings activities in the country. Before joining Moody’s in 2002, Michelangelo worked in the Structured Credit Group at UBS in London. Mr. Margaria graduated in engineering from the Polytechnic of Turin.
Steffen Dyck is a Senior Vice President in Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group.
Based in Frankfurt, he is the lead analyst for a portfolio of European sovereigns and multilateral institutions.
Up until early 2018, Steffen was the lead analyst for number of sovereigns and multilaterals in the Middle East, including Egypt and most of the Gulf Cooperation Council members.
Before relocating to Frankfurt in June 2015, Steffen was based in Moody’s Singapore office, where he covered sovereigns in the Asia-Pacific region as well as in the Middle East.
Prior to joining Moody’s in 2012, Steffen worked for more than six years with Deutsche Bank’s Risk Analysis team in Frankfurt and Singapore, covering macroeconomic and sovereign risk analysis across Asia (ex-Japan), Latin America, and Sub-Saharan Africa. He also helped manage the bank’s sovereign rating processes.
Sarah has been the lead analyst for most countries in the European Union, and is also a former lead analyst for the United States. She is currently the lead analyst for France and Italy, among other European countries. She is also one of the Sovereign Risk Group’s global spokespeople.
She joined Moody’s in 2009 after completing a Sloan Fellowship at the London Business School. Prior to this academic sabbatical, she spent seven years at the Financial Services Authority in London where she headed the regulator’s Risk Analysis area and acted as its chief macroeconomist. Before joining the FSA, she worked in Dun & Bradstreet’s Economic Analysis Group for six years, where she was the organisation’s Deputy Chief Economist.
She holds an MA in European Studies (with a concentration in Economics and Finance) from the Elliott School of International Affairs at the George Washington University in Washington, DC and an AB with a double major in Government and History from Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire in the United States. She is a CFA Charterholder and is co-chair of the Macroeconomic Committee of the CFA Society France. She is a dual citizen of the United Kingdom and the United States and is based in Paris.
Vincent Gusdorf is a Associate Managing Director in the DeFi and Digital Assets team (DFDA), leading Moody’s blockchain technology research. Before joining the DFDA team, Vincent worked for the Innovation and Data Science team, managing several machine learning projects and defining the innovation roadmap.
Vincent worked as a credit analyst for 16 years and covered investment grade and high-yield corporates. He also contributed to developing Moody’s cyber risk expertise in Europe. Before joining Moody’s, Vincent worked at Standard & Poor’s, Exane BNP Paribas, and Ernst and Young.
Vincent is a CFA charter holder and holds a Master of Finance from Sciences Po Paris and a Master of Law from Université Paris II Panthéon-Assas. He is a self-trained programmer and developed his blockchain and machine learning expertise by completing multiple online data science and cloud certifications. Vincent is also a Certified ScrumMaster and a PMI Agile Certified Practitioner (PMI-ACP).
Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, has been with Moody’s Deutschland GmbH in Frankfurt since October 2004. Matthias is Team Leader in the European Corporate Finance Group heading the Frankfurt-based analytical team focusing on manufacturing industries. The principal industries covered by his team include Auto, Capital Goods, Paper and Packaging, and Building Materials. He is also managing teams in London and Stockholm that are covering the Real Estate, Shipping and Airlines sectors. Prior to his appointment as Team Leader, Matthias was Moody’s lead analyst for European building materials companies and steel producers. Previously he spent around 10 years in the European banking industry as a corporate credit analyst with Commerzbank and ING in Germany and the UK. Matthias Hellstern has graduated from the University of Augsburg in Germany with a degree in Business Administration (Diplom-Kaufmann). |