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Deep Dive: China
Managing deleveraging risks in the Common Prosperity era
As one of the first economies to recover from the COVID pandemic, China has been normalizing policy settings ahead of many other sovereigns and shifting its policy focus to reducing leverage. Challenges to managing this deleveraging are emerging. At the same time, high-profile policy themes such as “Common Prosperity” and “Dual Circulation” are setting the direction for China’s development in the medium term. Carbon transition policies are starting to have a credit impact.
- What challenges will the government face in executing its derisking and deleveraging strategy?
- What are the credit implications of the Common Prosperity initiative and other regulatory developments in China?
- How will US-China relations affect China’s credit conditions?
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SpeakersMartin Petch Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
Jack Yuan Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
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Martin Petch is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific region – including China, Australia, Hong Kong - as well as credits in Central Asia and the Caucasus. Martin joined Moody’s in 2017, after working as the Manager of Economic Analysis and Research with BHP Billiton covering its key commodity markets, China, Japan and India, economies in the South East Asian region, and the major advanced economies.
Martin also held various positions with the Australian Commonwealth Treasury, the Commonwealth Bank and the Australian Industry Group.
Martin was a graduate in Economics from the University of Western Australia.
Jack Yuan is an Assistant Vice President and Analyst in Moody’s Sub-Sovereign Group. Based in Shanghai, Jack is responsible for covering a portfolio of China’s regional and local governments. Jack has more than 10 years’ experience in credit analysis and research. Prior to joining Moody’s, he worked at Fitch Ratings with a focus on banks and non-bank financial institutions. Jack holds a Bachelor of Laws and Bachelor of Commerce, majoring in Finance, from the University of New South Wales. He is admitted as a lawyer by the Supreme Court of New South Wales.