Economics in Focus

Preparing for the new normal

Your resource for timely economic insights and analysis, designed to help you navigate market challenges and make better, faster decisions.

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schedule 60 Mins | 5 May 2021

US Macro & Regional Economic Outlook: It's Getting Late Early

The U.S. economy is booming and near-term prospects have rarely been as strong. In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team will examine the tailwinds to growth, including fast-approaching herd immunity, massive pent-up demand, excess saving as well as unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy support. We will also review which regions of the U.S. are leading the country’s recovery, which are lagging, and the reasons why. Finally, we’ll examine the threats, including the prospects for uncomfortably high inflation and interest rates, overvalued asset markets, and the uncontrolled pandemic in much of the rest of the world.

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schedule 60 Mins | 4 May 2021

Moody's Analytics and KBA East Africa Webinar Series: Forward-Looking Risk Management

Join this webinar to learn about the challenges and best practices in the banking sector.

We will discuss:

  • Economic outlook as a driver for risk
  • Moody’s Analytics global forecasting model
  • Macroeconomic overlay atop standard risk models.
  • Scenario-based risk forecasting
schedule 60 Mins | 28 April 2021

Climate change and the U.K. and U.S. mortgage credit risk

In this webinar, we will explore how acute physical risk affects risk parameters for the U.S. and U.K. mortgages using the Moody’s Mortgage Portfolio Analyzer platform. With Monte Carlo simulations, we illustrate the impact of frequency and severity of natural disasters on probability of default in the U.S. We will then discuss the effect of climate change scenarios and location-specific exposure to climate hazards for the U.K. mortgage market.

schedule 60 Mins | 21 April 2021

Europe Outlook: Cautious Optimism for the Virus Stricken Continent

The third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has worsened the European outlook for the first half of this year.

With new variants being discovered the need for mass vaccination becomes vital. Vaccinations hold the key for a rebound in consumption and investment in the second half of 2021.

schedule 60 Mins | 14 April 2021

Australia: Managing Credit Risk after COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic crisis has triggered an extraordinary challenge for different parts of the economy and it is apparent that various sectors were impacted to various degrees. With the vaccination roll out on the horizon, having the right set of data, models and strategies to sufficiently distinguish the risk across industries on an efficient and timely manner is more important than ever.

schedule 60 Mins | 14 April 2021

EBA 2021 Stress Test for Dutch Mortgages: A Tough Squeeze for the Orange

In this webinar, we will present our approach to forecasting impairment and capital using macroeconomic stress scenarios provided by the European Banking Authority.

schedule 60 Mins | 7 April 2021

Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation: The Year Ahead - Update on CRE

join us for the third webinar in our series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for commercial real estate and its impact on banking/lending. This webinar will provide expert insight and trend analysis in the age of COVID-19

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schedule 60 Mins | 30 March 2021

UK Mortgage Loan Market Expectations - A Midsummer Night’s Dream or Nightmare?

In this webinar you will find out more about the Moody’s Analytics UK Mortgage Portfolio Analyzer to assess the adverse economic impact of the global pandemic on a representative portfolio of the UK mortgages.

schedule 60 Mins | 24 March 2021

Canadian Consumer Credit Outlook - Recovery Interrupted

In this session, we will discuss the current and anticipated trends for Canadian household credit conditions based on data from Equifax and Moody's Analytics macro and regional economic forecasts. We'll examine the effect of the ongoing pandemic on consumer spending, debt, originations, and other factors of Canadian household credit under our baseline forecast and stress scenarios.

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schedule 60 Mins | 23 March 2021

Assessing ESG Risks Across Types of Companies

The challenges of ESG assessment for different types of companies are complex issues to navigate and are now critical considerations, be it for managing future investments or risk management.

Methodologies and granularity of ESG risk assessment are often subject to data constraints. While the ESG scores can be assigned through direct in-depth company assessment, there are cases when only limited company information is available, especially for small and mid-caps. To bridge the ESG disclosure data gap, analytics can be used to build the ESG score estimates.

schedule 60 Mins | 9 March 2021

Tracking COVID-19 Impact on Credit Risk in 2021

As we open 2021, we continue to take stock of the unprecedented turmoil in financial markets brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Join us as we review distinct impacts on the credit risk of both public and private companies and what the recovery path looks like for various sectors and risk rating segments. During this session, we will demonstrate ways in which your current Moody’s Analytics solutions can help you adjust to new developments quickly, and effectively navigate credit conditions throughout this year and beyond.

schedule 60 Mins | 9 March 2021

Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation - The Year Ahead: An Update on Fintech & Student Lending

Join us for the second webinar in our series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for the fintech and student lending and their impact on banking / lending. This webinar will provide expert insight and trend analysis in the age of COVID-19.

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schedule 90 Mins | 9 March 2021

CIS Economic and Credit Outlook

We start 2021 with a series of webinars looking at CIS region and its peculiarities. These are delivered in partnership with Moody's Investors Service credit rating agency which operates independently of Moody's Analytics.

schedule 60 Mins | 17 February 2021

Briefing on the U.S. CCAR & European Stress Test Scenarios

Following the release of the Federal Reserve’s Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) scenarios for 2021, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team discussed the CCAR scenarios in this webinar. The group also considered the stress test scenarios recently released by Prudential Regulatory Authority in the U.K. and European Bank Authority in the European Union.

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schedule 60 Mins | 10 February 2021

Moody’s Analytics and RIMAN Webinar on 2021 Economic and Risk Outlook

Please join us to hear from Gega Todua, Economist as he shares the global economic outlook as we steer through the pandemic, with a focus on Nigeria and the surrounding region.

schedule 60 Mins | 8 February 2021

Moody's Analytics & Raymond James In Conversation: The Year Ahead - Current Economic Outlook & Policy Update

Join us for the kick-off event in our webinar series: Moody’s Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation where we will discuss the outlook for the U.S. economy, policy under the Biden administration and its impact on banking / lending. This webinar will provide expert insight and trend analysis in the age of COVID-19. 

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schedule 60 Mins | 22 January 2021

U.S. Macro & Regional Economic Outlook

The pandemic will be fading by mid-year and unprecedented monetary accommodation and fiscal support augur well. Yet, there are considerable threats to this optimism and substantial longer-term fallout from the pandemic. In this webinar, we will weigh these cross-currents. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team for this timely analysis.

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schedule 60 Mins | 2 December 2020

Moody's Analytics And RIMAN West Africa Series: Model Risk Challenges and Best Practices for Implementing an Effective Model Validation Framework

Join RIMAN and Moody’s Analytics experts, as they share insights on how institutions can set up an effective model validation framework and governance for model life cycle management.

schedule 60 Mins | 15 September 2020

COVID Scenarios for Treasury Risks: Integrating ALM & Liquidity Behavioural Models

The impact on bank balance sheets and the economy will depend on the severity and duration of the crisis; it is likely however that scenarios incorporating pandemic impacts will be with us for some time.

Join our experts on this webinar, which will cover:

  • Economic impacts of ending government support and coronavirus outbreaks
  • Scenarios that integrate these impacts and can be leveraged with ALM behavioral models
  • Other contemporary challenges for stress testing, such as IBOR transition
schedule 60 Mins | 25 August 2020

Default Risk in the Nigerian Economy: Navigating COVID-19

Moody's Analytics is pleased to invite you to join a discussion on the Nigerian economy through the lens of CreditEdge™ platform. This powerful tool is designed to manage credit risk by leveraging the industry's most accurate Probability of Default (PD) model.

During the webinar, we will highlight and explore the most at-risk names across different sectors and industries within the Nigerian economy.

Topics include:

  •  Introduction to the CreditEdge platform
  •  Monitoring and analysing sectors within the Nigerian economy
  •  Analyses of specific public companies listed on the NSE
schedule 18 August 2020

South Africa Webinar Series: Weathering the Storm: Managing Liquidity, Interest Rate and Credit Risk through Integrated Balance Sheet Management in Times of COVID-19

In this webinar, we show how an integrated balance sheet management solution can be leveraged to allow better alignment for the management of liquidity risk, interest rate risk, and credit risk; thereby breaking down the silos that traditionally exist in these risk disciplines.

schedule 60 Mins | 4 August 2020

South Africa Webinar Series: Collaborative Credit Decisioning and Early Warning Capabilities

In this webinar, we will discuss Moody’s Analytics' automated capabilities to: - Speedily access financial spreading data - Interpret PDFs - Analyse data within a SaaS deployed collaborative framework.

We will explore reporting capabilities and conclude by discussing how to stay on top of your counterparty and portfolio risk, by leveraging our monitoring and early warning system.

schedule 60 Mins | 18 June 2020

Embedding Liquidity and Interest Rate Risk Stress Testing into Your Organisation

Topics in this session include: 

  • Designing forward-looking behavioural models for managing liquidity and interest rate risk in the banking book
  • Building real-world scenarios with interest rate and liquidity shocks
  • Case studies to forecast customer behavior such as loan prepayment and deposit withdrawals


schedule 60 Mins | 17 April 2020

Moody's Analytics REIS & Raymond James In Conversation: COVID-19’s Impact on CRE Lending

Join John Toohig, Head of Whole Loan Trading at Raymond James, and Victor Calanog, Head of CRE Economics at Moody's Analytics REIS for a candid conversation covering: Panelists provided expert insight and trend analysis of CRE lending in the age of COVID-19.

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Podcasts

Perspectives on the evolving economic landscape