Credit Trends Southeast Asia and India
The world is yet again in transition. What will drive credit dynamics in 2022 and beyond? Explore insights from our forward-looking credit outlooks and discover what trends will have the most impact across sectors in Southeast Asia and India as we transition to the next phase of the global recovery.
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Agenda16.05 - 16.35SGT16.35 - 17.25SGT
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SpeakersGraeme Knowd Managing Director, Financial Institutions Moody's Investors Service
Dr. Michael Taylor Managing Director, Chief Credit Officer, Asia Pacific Moody's Investors Service
Alka Anbarasu Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings
Ray Tay Associate Managing Director, Project & Infrastructure Finance Moody's Ratings
Michael Foley Vice Chairman – Asia Pacific Moody's Investors Service
Christian de Guzman Senior Vice President - Manager, Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk Moody's Ratings
Jorge Valez Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody’s Ratings
John Wang Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sustainable Finance Thought Leadership Moody's Ratings
Jacintha Poh Associate Managing Director Corporate Finance, Moody's Ratings
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Graeme Knowd is a Managing Director in the Financial Institutions Group based in Singapore. He manages a team of analysts in Japan and Singapore.The team has responsibility for rating financial institutions, including banks, securities firms and other non-bank financial institutions in North Asia (ex-Greater China) , South and South East Asia. Graeme has analyzed financial institutions globally for more than 20 years.
Before joining Moody’s, Graeme worked as a sell-side equity analyst at CLSA and Morgan Stanley. Prior to that, Graeme worked for The Bank for International Settlements, where he was involved in risk management and regularly conducted training for central banks throughout the world, particularly in Latin America. He has also worked for other leading financial institutions, such as UBS and S&P, and began his career at the Bank of England. He has worked in London, Switzerland, Tokyo and Singapore.
Graeme has Master’s degrees from the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, and Kobe University, where he studied Economics.
Dr. Michael Taylor is a Managing Director for Moody’s Investors Service. He is also Moody’s Chief Credit Officer for the Asia Pacific region.
Michael leads regional research, particularly with a cross-sectoral and macro credit focus, as well as coordinating major regional analytical initiatives.
Michael joined Moody’s after a distinguished career in several leading central banks and international financial institutions, including roles at the Bank of England, the IMF — where as Resident Representative, he was closely involved in the resolution of the Indonesian financial crisis in the late 1990s — and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority as Head of Banking Policy. He was also the Advisor to the Governor of the Central Bank of Bahrain.
Michael has also had a distinguished academic career, including as Reader in Financial Regulation at Reading University. He has published widely on financial stability and financial regulation, and given seminars and lectures at the Said Business School at Oxford University, at Harvard Law School, Columbia University, and The University of Hong Kong.
Michael holds a bachelor’s degree as well as a doctorate from Oxford University. He also holds a master’s in International Business Law from the University of London.
Christian de Guzman is a Senior Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Asia Pacific, including Japan, India and a number of Southeast Asian credits, while also managing the team responsible for sub-sovereign ratings in Asia ex-China.
Christian joined Moody’s in 2009, after working as a Senior Economist for the Monetary Authority of Singapore, covering ASEAN economies. He has also held various positions with the Research Department at the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, and Procter & Gamble in Singapore.
Christian was a Phi Beta Kappa graduate in Economics and Political Science at the University of Georgia and received his M.A. in International Economics and Southeast Asian Studies from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.
Michael Foley, Vice Chairman, Asia Pacific, is a senior member of the Moody’s Investors Service Regional Management team. Based in Singapore, Mr. Foley is also on the Board of Directors of ICRA Limited, a leading credit rating agency in India and a Moody’s affiliate. In his prior role as Managing Director, Global Financial Institutions, he was responsible for Moody’s Banking, Insurance and Managed Investment rating businesses in the Americas, EMEA and Asia. Mike joined Moody’s from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C. where he was the Senior Associate Director of Banking Supervision and Regulation from 2008 until 2012. While at the Federal Reserve, he managed a group responsible for the supervision of large, complex domestic and foreign banking organizations regulated by the Federal Reserve.
Prior to his role at the Federal Reserve, Mike spent 14 years at Moody’s in a number of roles. His last position, in 2007, was Managing Director, Fundamental Business Management. From 2002 to 2006, Mike was Managing Director, Regional Head for EMEA, where he had responsibility for Moody’s offices in Europe, as well as for Moody’s affiliate relationships, and matrix responsibility for EMEA ratings and research activities. From 1997 to 2001, Mike was a Managing Director in Corporate Finance managing ratings for telecom, media and technologies, energy, utilities, healthcare and basic industries. He was also a Managing Director in Finance, Securities and Insurance from 1996 to 1997 and a Vice President in the Financial Institutions Group from 1993 to 1996.
Before Moody’s, Mike worked at KPMG Peat Marwick and the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C.
Jacintha Poh is an Associate Managing Director for the Corporate Finance Group at Moody's, based in Singapore. She leads a team of analysts who are responsible for Moody's nonfinancial corporate ratings and research in the South and Southeast Asia region.
Jacintha joined Moody's in 2012 taking several Lead Analyst roles, where she demonstrated her ability to execute complex analyses across a diverse range of sectors, including real estate, hospitality, and investment holding companies.
Before joining Moody's, Jacintha worked for Lion Global Investors, where she served as a Credit Analyst on the Fixed Income team. Jacintha holds an honors BSc in Accounting and Finance from the University of London.
Alka Anbarasu is an Associate Managing Director in the Financial Institutions Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, Alka is responsible for Moody's analytical teams covering ratings and research on banks, insurance companies, and non-bank financial institutions in Japan, ASEAN and Indian Sub-continent. Alka also coordinates the Global Financial Institution Group's efforts on Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) scoring and research. Alka is a regular speaker at Moody's market briefings, external conferences podcasts and broadcast media. She is very active in promoting Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DE&I) initiatives and is a passionate impact leader for Moody's Community Impact initiatives in Asia.
Alka joined Moody's in 2013 and over the years has led the ratings of several high profile Asian financial institutions. Prior to joining Moody's, she worked in the investment banking division of J.P. Morgan in London and Mumbai and ING Vysya Bank in India. She has close to 20 years of experience in the financial industry. Alka holds an MBA from the Xavier Institute of Management in India.
Ray Tay is a Associate Managing Director in Moody’s Project and Infrastructure Finance Group. Based in Singapore, Ray covers project finance, transport, utilities and other infrastructure credits in Southeast Asia and India. Ray also authors research and conducts outreach focused on topics such as project bonds and the role of funding diversity and credit enhancement in bridging the infrastructure gap, particularly in emerging markets. Ray is also a member of Moody’s APAC ESG Working Group.
Before joining Moody’s in 2012, Ray was a Director with the Global Infrastructure & Projects Group in KPMG. Ray has also worked as a Senior Business Analyst with the Singapore Power Group, focusing on regulatory economics in each of its principal local operating subsidiaries.
Ray holds a Bachelor’s in Economics with honors from the National University of Singapore.
In his role, John is involved in integrating ESG into Moody’s credit rating research and is the point person for Moody’s ESG outreach in the Asia-Pacific region. He is also responsible for publishing thematic and issuer-specific research on ESG risks relevant to credit analysis.
Prior to joining Moody’s, John was CEO of Visiondom ESG, an independent ESG consultancy in China, which helped institutional investors integrate ESG into their investment process. He also worked as an ESG specialist with Fidelity International’s Asia Stewardship and Sustainable Investing team, focusing on the Greater China and Oceania markets for five years. At Fidelity, he was closely involved in promoting ESG best practices in Asia and ESG integration, and had a special focus on corporate governance and carbon trading.
John holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from Singapore Management University and is a CFA Charterholder.
Graeme Knowd is a Managing Director in the Financial Institutions Group based in Singapore. He manages a team of analysts in Japan and Singapore.The team has responsibility for rating financial institutions, including banks, securities firms and other non-bank financial institutions in North Asia (ex-Greater China) , South and South East Asia. Graeme has analyzed financial institutions globally for more than 20 years.
Before joining Moody’s, Graeme worked as a sell-side equity analyst at CLSA and Morgan Stanley. Prior to that, Graeme worked for The Bank for International Settlements, where he was involved in risk management and regularly conducted training for central banks throughout the world, particularly in Latin America. He has also worked for other leading financial institutions, such as UBS and S&P, and began his career at the Bank of England. He has worked in London, Switzerland, Tokyo and Singapore.
Graeme has Master’s degrees from the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, and Kobe University, where he studied Economics.
Graeme Knowd is a Managing Director in the Financial Institutions Group based in Singapore. He manages a team of analysts in Japan and Singapore.The team has responsibility for rating financial institutions, including banks, securities firms and other non-bank financial institutions in North Asia (ex-Greater China) , South and South East Asia. Graeme has analyzed financial institutions globally for more than 20 years.
Before joining Moody’s, Graeme worked as a sell-side equity analyst at CLSA and Morgan Stanley. Prior to that, Graeme worked for The Bank for International Settlements, where he was involved in risk management and regularly conducted training for central banks throughout the world, particularly in Latin America. He has also worked for other leading financial institutions, such as UBS and S&P, and began his career at the Bank of England. He has worked in London, Switzerland, Tokyo and Singapore.
Graeme has Master’s degrees from the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, and Kobe University, where he studied Economics.
Dr. Michael Taylor is a Managing Director for Moody’s Investors Service. He is also Moody’s Chief Credit Officer for the Asia Pacific region.
Michael leads regional research, particularly with a cross-sectoral and macro credit focus, as well as coordinating major regional analytical initiatives.
Michael joined Moody’s after a distinguished career in several leading central banks and international financial institutions, including roles at the Bank of England, the IMF — where as Resident Representative, he was closely involved in the resolution of the Indonesian financial crisis in the late 1990s — and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority as Head of Banking Policy. He was also the Advisor to the Governor of the Central Bank of Bahrain.
Michael has also had a distinguished academic career, including as Reader in Financial Regulation at Reading University. He has published widely on financial stability and financial regulation, and given seminars and lectures at the Said Business School at Oxford University, at Harvard Law School, Columbia University, and The University of Hong Kong.
Michael holds a bachelor’s degree as well as a doctorate from Oxford University. He also holds a master’s in International Business Law from the University of London.
Alka Anbarasu is an Associate Managing Director in the Financial Institutions Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, Alka is responsible for Moody's analytical teams covering ratings and research on banks, insurance companies, and non-bank financial institutions in Japan, ASEAN and Indian Sub-continent. Alka also coordinates the Global Financial Institution Group's efforts on Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) scoring and research. Alka is a regular speaker at Moody's market briefings, external conferences podcasts and broadcast media. She is very active in promoting Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DE&I) initiatives and is a passionate impact leader for Moody's Community Impact initiatives in Asia.
Alka joined Moody's in 2013 and over the years has led the ratings of several high profile Asian financial institutions. Prior to joining Moody's, she worked in the investment banking division of J.P. Morgan in London and Mumbai and ING Vysya Bank in India. She has close to 20 years of experience in the financial industry. Alka holds an MBA from the Xavier Institute of Management in India.
Ray Tay is a Associate Managing Director in Moody’s Project and Infrastructure Finance Group. Based in Singapore, Ray covers project finance, transport, utilities and other infrastructure credits in Southeast Asia and India. Ray also authors research and conducts outreach focused on topics such as project bonds and the role of funding diversity and credit enhancement in bridging the infrastructure gap, particularly in emerging markets. Ray is also a member of Moody’s APAC ESG Working Group.
Before joining Moody’s in 2012, Ray was a Director with the Global Infrastructure & Projects Group in KPMG. Ray has also worked as a Senior Business Analyst with the Singapore Power Group, focusing on regulatory economics in each of its principal local operating subsidiaries.
Ray holds a Bachelor’s in Economics with honors from the National University of Singapore.
Michael Foley, Vice Chairman, Asia Pacific, is a senior member of the Moody’s Investors Service Regional Management team. Based in Singapore, Mr. Foley is also on the Board of Directors of ICRA Limited, a leading credit rating agency in India and a Moody’s affiliate. In his prior role as Managing Director, Global Financial Institutions, he was responsible for Moody’s Banking, Insurance and Managed Investment rating businesses in the Americas, EMEA and Asia. Mike joined Moody’s from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C. where he was the Senior Associate Director of Banking Supervision and Regulation from 2008 until 2012. While at the Federal Reserve, he managed a group responsible for the supervision of large, complex domestic and foreign banking organizations regulated by the Federal Reserve.
Prior to his role at the Federal Reserve, Mike spent 14 years at Moody’s in a number of roles. His last position, in 2007, was Managing Director, Fundamental Business Management. From 2002 to 2006, Mike was Managing Director, Regional Head for EMEA, where he had responsibility for Moody’s offices in Europe, as well as for Moody’s affiliate relationships, and matrix responsibility for EMEA ratings and research activities. From 1997 to 2001, Mike was a Managing Director in Corporate Finance managing ratings for telecom, media and technologies, energy, utilities, healthcare and basic industries. He was also a Managing Director in Finance, Securities and Insurance from 1996 to 1997 and a Vice President in the Financial Institutions Group from 1993 to 1996.
Before Moody’s, Mike worked at KPMG Peat Marwick and the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C.
Christian de Guzman is a Senior Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Asia Pacific, including Japan, India and a number of Southeast Asian credits, while also managing the team responsible for sub-sovereign ratings in Asia ex-China.
Christian joined Moody’s in 2009, after working as a Senior Economist for the Monetary Authority of Singapore, covering ASEAN economies. He has also held various positions with the Research Department at the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, and Procter & Gamble in Singapore.
Christian was a Phi Beta Kappa graduate in Economics and Political Science at the University of Georgia and received his M.A. in International Economics and Southeast Asian Studies from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.
Jorge R. Valez is a Senior Vice President at Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group based in London. He serves as lead analyst for a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in the EMEA region. He is also a global lead in analytical projects aimed at supporting rating accuracy and thought leadership across sovereign credit risks.
Jorge joined Moody’s in 2014 in the Financial Institutions Group. He also worked at Credit Strategy and Research leading the team responsible for banking projections and stress tests globally, as well as foundational research on ratings and capital markets.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Jorge worked for a bank as a macroeconomist responsible for forecasting and scenario analysis, and as a university lecturer in Macroeconomics and Econometrics.
Jorge is a PhD in Econometrics and holds degrees in Economics and in Business Administration.
In his role, John is involved in integrating ESG into Moody’s credit rating research and is the point person for Moody’s ESG outreach in the Asia-Pacific region. He is also responsible for publishing thematic and issuer-specific research on ESG risks relevant to credit analysis.
Prior to joining Moody’s, John was CEO of Visiondom ESG, an independent ESG consultancy in China, which helped institutional investors integrate ESG into their investment process. He also worked as an ESG specialist with Fidelity International’s Asia Stewardship and Sustainable Investing team, focusing on the Greater China and Oceania markets for five years. At Fidelity, he was closely involved in promoting ESG best practices in Asia and ESG integration, and had a special focus on corporate governance and carbon trading.
John holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics from Singapore Management University and is a CFA Charterholder.
Jacintha Poh is an Associate Managing Director for the Corporate Finance Group at Moody's, based in Singapore. She leads a team of analysts who are responsible for Moody's nonfinancial corporate ratings and research in the South and Southeast Asia region.
Jacintha joined Moody's in 2012 taking several Lead Analyst roles, where she demonstrated her ability to execute complex analyses across a diverse range of sectors, including real estate, hospitality, and investment holding companies.
Before joining Moody's, Jacintha worked for Lion Global Investors, where she served as a Credit Analyst on the Fixed Income team. Jacintha holds an honors BSc in Accounting and Finance from the University of London.