Q1 2022 CRE Quarterly Economic Briefing
An Uncertain Start to 2022
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We had anticipated a rising interest rate environment – but not the Russia-Ukraine military conflict. We knew inflation was going to be an issue – but what does negative GDP growth in the first quarter of 2022 mean?
Join us for our Quarterly Economic Briefing for commercial real estate performance metrics. We will discuss how different property types and geographic markets performed in the first quarter of 2022, and what our updated outlook means for drivers of both income and pricing. Victor Calanog, Tom LaSalvia, and Kevin Fagan will discuss all these and more:
- Updated economic forecasts: will hotel finally catch a break? Has multifamily and industrial remained resilient?
- Will cap rates finally rise? When, and by how much?
- The latest issues, summarized from conversations with hundreds of clients and market participants throughout the first four and a half months of 2022.
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SpeakersVictor Calanog, PhD Head of CRE Economics Moody's Analytics
Kevin Fagan Senior Director, Head of CRE Economic Analysis Moody's
Thomas LaSalvia, PhD Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics Moody's
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Victor Calanog, Ph.D. CRE® is the Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He and his team of economists and analysts are responsible for the firm’s commercial real estate market forecasting, valuation, and portfolio analytics services.
Dr. Calanog's research has received awards and fellowship support from several institutions, including the Ford Foundation, the Russell Sage Foundation and the Penn Lauder Center for International Business Research.
Kevin is a senior director and Head of CRE Economic Analysis at Moody’s, responsible for research, thought leadership and strategic initiatives for the Moody's CRE group, with a focus on capital markets and climate risks. He’s the industry member chair of the Commercial Real Estate Finance Council ESG and Sustainability Initiative. He was formerly director of CRE and CMBS research in the Moody’s Investors Service. Prior to joining Moody’s, Kevin held CRE research roles at ING Clarion and Jones Lang LaSalle. He also practiced as a structural engineer, designing large scale commercial buildings in California. Kevin holds an MS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a BS from the University of Texas at Austin.
Thomas P LaSalvia, Ph.D. is the Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody's Analytics. Thomas, a former professor, brings his pedagogical prowess to his extensive research into the marketplace, with a specific focus on the multifamily sector. His work is frequently published in a variety of periodicals, and he spends a vast amount of time presenting his findings to a variety of industry and academic professionals. Prior to joining Moody's Analytics, he served in a consulting role for the firm while teaching classes in foundational economics and urban economics at The College of William & Mary.