REPLAY - A Tangled Web: Impact of Supply Chain and Inflation on the U.S. Economy
In this webinar, Ryan Sweet, Moody’s Analytics Senior Director of Economic Research and co-presenter on the Inside Economics podcast, will provide actionable insights to help you better manage your credit portfolio during this uncertain time.
It seems that this U.S. economic cycle is going to be more like a boom-bust than the type of recovery after the Great Recession. While recession risks are extremely low now, they may eventually rise more quickly than prior downturns.
Stress in U.S. supply chains brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic isn’t abating, giving downside risk to Moody’s Analytics forecast for GDP growth in the near term and a clear upside risk to our forecast for inflation. It will likely take time for the supply chain issues to ease, which could keep inflation on U.S. goods elevated. The Fed could face a situation where higher consumer prices begin to weigh on consumer spending, reducing GDP growth.
In this webinar, Ryan Sweet, Moody’s Analytics Senior Director of Economic Research and co-presenter on the Inside Economics podcast, will provide actionable insights to help you better manage your credit portfolio during this uncertain time:
» Lessons learned from the COVID-19 economy and a look at peak U.S. growth
» U.S. bond market risks given elevated inflation and continued supply chain issues
» Insights from Moody’s Analytics on how its corporate credit risk signals perform in different economic cycles
» Macroeconomic themes and at-risk industries to watch going into 2022
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SpeakersRyan Sweet Senior Director-Research Moody's Analytics
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Ryan Sweet is a director of real-time economics at Moody's Analytics.He is also editor-in-chief of Economic View, to which he regularly contributes,and a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team in West Chester PA. His areas of specialization include U.S. monetary policy and forecasting high-frequency economic indicators. He is among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the U.S. economy, according to Market Watch. He is also an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received his master's degree in economics from the University of Delaware and his bachelor's degree in economics from Washington College.