Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation: Mortgages - High Performance, Low Value
Please note: Registration will close 24 hours prior to the start of the live event.
Please Join us on Tuesday, August 29th for the next event in our webinar series: Moody's Analytics & Raymond James in Conversation, where we will explore current trends in housing and mortgage markets as we lay out an outlook for the rest of the year and 2024.
Mortgage delinquencies remain near record lows as borrowers benefit from having locked in ultralow interest rates and as jobs remain plentiful. With both the labor market and home prices projected to remain relatively strong, near-term downside risks to mortgage portfolios are limited to higher risk segments.
But what’s good for the goose isn’t always good for the gander. Today’s high mortgage rates have all but eliminated refinance activity and are weighing heavily on the ability of buyers to purchase homes, depressing origination volumes.We’ll explore current trends in housing and mortgage markets as we lay out an outlook for the rest of the year and 2024.
In addition to the baseline, we’ll highlight risks – both upside and downside – that investors, originators, and servicers will want to consider.
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SpeakersCris deRitis Deputy Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
John Toohig Head of Whole Loan Trading Raymond James
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Cristian deRitis, Deputy Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, specializes in assessing the economy’s impact on household finance, housing, credit markets and public policy. Named on two U.S. patents for credit modeling, he created loss forecasting and stress testing systems for financial institutions. He joined Moody’s in 2008, after serving as a director with Fannie Mae. He also was an adjunct professor of economics at Johns Hopkins University.
John Toohig is a Managing Director at Raymond James, a Board Member and President of Raymond James Mortgage Company, Inc and Head of the Whole Loan Group.
John joined Raymond James (formerly Morgan Keegan) in September of 2006. As manager of the Whole Loan Group, John’s primary responsibilities include day-to-day trading of whole loan packages, portfolio analysis, transaction management and the structuring of whole loan, participation and various structured products. John’s product focus encompasses both seasoned and new production: residential mortgages (both QM and Non-QM), commercial mortgages, consumer lending, fintech lending, scratch and dent loans, and non-performing assets. Prior to joining the Whole Loan group at Raymond James, John was a part of the firm’s Taxable Banking platform where he was responsible for corporate debt transactions, trust preferred securities, sale leaseback transactions and ABS transactions.
Beyond his daily trading responsibilities, John is a regular speaker and content creator for various lending-related conferences and publications. He has presented at most of the major lending conferences including MBA National Secondary, SFIG Vegas / ABS West, CUNA Lending and more, and his commentary has also been featured in publications such as the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, HousingWire and DebtWire. In 2020, John contributed a chapter to “The CECL Handbook A Practitioner’s Guide” entitled “Data Collision: Efficient Lending Under CECL” which dives deep into the impact of the new accounting regulation’s impact on lending. John has created an active following on LinkedIn with regular posts and articles surrounding community lending, providing both lenders and investors with timely commentary on current trends and happenings in the primary and secondary loan markets. In addition, he showcases new lending products, technology, and credit tools as the market constantly evolves.
Mr. Toohig received his undergraduate degree from the Houghton College and his MBA from the University of Mississippi with a focus in finance and IT. John has his Series 7, 24 and Series 63 licenses. His community involvement includes currently serving as Member of the Board of Trustees for St. Agnes Academy / St. Dominic School. He is also a former chairman for both the Lafayette and DeSoto county American Cancer Society Relay for Life events and the former president of the Ole Miss MBA Alumni Board. John resides in Memphis, TN with his wife Sha, and his two daughters, Helen Grace and Cressey, while he works in Raymond James’ east Memphis branch.