Looking to the Economic Long-Run

An in-person conference in Washington DC

About

The economy has successfully navigated through a period of extraordinarily high inflation and interest rates and avoided recession. Whether this good performance continues longer-run depends on multiple forces, including demographic trends, productivity growth, deglobalization, and the outcome of the elections. And of course the economy can be derailed at any moment by any of a number of potential shocks, ranging from geopolitical flashpoints to careening real estate markets.
 
 We're coming to Washington D.C. to discuss all of this. Join Chief Economist, Mark Zandi, and economists from across Moody's Analytics as they provide their insights and answer your questions in-person.

Agenda

08:30 - 09:00
EDT

Registration Check-In

09:00 - 09:15
EDT

Welcome Address

09:15 - 10:15
EDT

The Business Cycle & Beyond

The U.S. economy has navigated around surging inflation and interest rates and avoided a recession. This session considers the reasons for the economy’s resilience and what this suggests for the economy’s longer-term prospects. Challenges remain of course, and those will also be taken up in this presentation. 

10:15 - 11:00
EDT

Piecing Together the Productivity Puzzle

Productivity growth has been stronger than anticipated coming out of the pandemic.  This session explores whether this growth is the result of a temporary, one-time bounce or if it signals the start of a sustained trend driven by innovative technologies and improvements in organizational design. Answering this question is key to determining the long run economic outlook 

11:00 - 11:30
EDT

Break

11:30 - 12:15
EDT

Demographics are Economic Destiny

The pandemic scrambled domestic migration patterns. We examine those changes and consider their implications for regional economies. We also consider the impact of the recent surge in foreign immigration, including the challenges and opportunities associated with the dramatic increase in asylum seekers.  

12:15 - 13:15
EDT

Lunch

13:15 - 14:15
EDT

As the Real Estate Cycle Turns

Real estate markets are in uncharted waters today due to simultaneous shifts in structural demand and extreme movements in interest rates.  This session explores what the future holds for both the housing and commercial real estate markets and how quickly a new equilibrium will be reached. In addition, the panel considers the impact of shifting demographics on the long-run demand for real estate. 

14:15 - 15:00
EDT

Debating Deglobalization

Globalization has multiple dimensions, from migration flows and remittances to capital flows and direct investment to the trade in goods and services. For nearly two decades after China entered the WTO the global economy become increasingly more integrated. More recently given the pandemic and rising global tensions, globalization appears threatened. This session considers whether this is the case and the implications. 

15:00 - 15:15
EDT

Break

15:15 - 16:00
EDT

Biden vs. Trump

Elections have consequences, and no more so than the 2024 election. This will be a rematch between current-President Joe Biden and former-President Donald Trump, two candidates with fundamentally different agendas should either earn a second term in the White House. We handicap the race for the Presidency and control of Congress and assess the macroeconomic impact of each candidates’ policy positions proposed on the campaign trail. 

16:00 - 16:45
EDT

Fireside Chat with Mark Zandi & Wendy Edelberg

Mark Zandi will have a wide-ranging conversation with Wendy, including her recent work assessing the impact of foreign immigration on the U.S. economy and long-standing research in the nation’s fiscal challenges. 

16:45 - 17:30
EDT

Reception

Speakers

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Mark Zandi Chief Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Cris deRitis Deputy Chief Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Kevin Fagan Senior Director, Head of CRE Economic Analysis Moody's Bio
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Brendan La Cerda Director - Economic Research Moody's Analytics Bio
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Steve Cochrane Chief APAC Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Dante DeAntonio Senior Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Adam Kamins Senior Regional Economist Moody's Bio
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Eric Gaus Senior Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Matthew Walsh Assistant Director, Economist Moody's Bio
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Justin Begley Economist Moody's Analytics Bio
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Laura Ratz Senior Economist Moody's Bio
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Wendy Edelberg Senior Fellow Brookings Institution Bio
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Shannon Brobst Associate Economist Moody's Bio
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Rebecca Rocky Deputy Chief Economist, Global Head of Forecasting Cushman & Wakefield Bio


Event Details:

Venue Name: Convene

Address: 600 14th Street NW,
Washington D.C. 20005


Contact Us

If you have any questions please contact Raji Kaur