Latin America Deep Dive
Navigating policy shifts, governance risks and energy transition amidst better credit conditions
Moderate economic growth, stable debt trends and lower inflation has improved credit conditions for Latin American entities. Nevertheless, higher for longer interest rates, policy shifts following pivotal elections and governance risks affect the operating environment, as well as the impact of climate-related developments and social tensions. Join our analysts as they discuss these latest issues and their impact on Latin America’s credit quality.
Discussion Topics:
- What is the post-election Mexico credit outlook for the sovereign and Pemex?
- Why is energy transmission and renewables so important for Mexico’s nearshoring prospects?
- How are governance risks materializing across SOEs in Brazilian banks, Colombia’s Ecopetrol and Chile?
- Why are Panama’s and Colombia’s banking systems on a downward trend, compared to the rest of the region?
Interactive session bringing together cross-sector credit experts to assess regional credit dynamics.
To view the details for the global event click here.
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SpeakersAriane Ortiz-Bollin Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy & Research Moody's Ratings
Renzo Merino Vice President - Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group Moody’s Ratings
Roxana Muñoz Vice President -Senior Analyst Moody's Ratings
Adrián Garza Vice President, Senior Credit Officer Moody's Ratings
Barbara Mattos Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Group Moody's Ratings
Ceres Lisboa Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group Moody's Ratings
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Event Manager
If you have any questions about the event, please contact Charlotte Murray at Charlotte.Murray@moodys.com.
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Ariane leads cross-sector analytic initiatives, strategic research and outreach covering Latin America. She chairs our Latin America Credit Council and works on credit strategy with senior leaders of Ratings & Research and other Credit Strategy & Standards functions within Moody’s. She is tasked with ensuring global analytical consistency with other regional credit strategy functions and foster collaboration across analytical teams.
Before her current role, Ariane was part of the Global Emerging Markets team, responsible for generating house views and research, and hosted Moody’s Emerging Markets Decoded podcast.
Ariane spent a decade as a sovereign analyst, managing a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Mexico, Chile and the International Finance Corporation, leading the internal rating committee discussions for her portfolio of credits, country and region-specific publications, and meetings with government officials.
Before joining Moody’s in 2011, Ariane was a research analyst at the Initiative for Policy Dialogue at Columbia University, prior to which she was a corporate credit analyst in Citi- Banamex in Mexico.
Ariane graduated with Honors in Economics from the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM) and has a Master’s degree in Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) at Columbia University.
Renzo Merino es vicepresidente y analista sénior del grupo de riesgo soberano de Moody's Ratings. Se incorporó a Moody's en 2011 y ha sido analista líder de calificaciones soberanas y supranacionales en América Latina desde 2014. Su cartera incluye México, Colombia, Panamá y Uruguay. También es el analista principal del Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. Renzo ha publicado investigaciones sobre temas relevantes para el crédito soberano que afectan a la región de América Latina. Se graduó de la Universidad de Nueva York con una Maestría en Economía y también tiene un BA en Economía de la Universidad de Pennsylvania.
Roxana Munoz is responsible for a diverse portfolio in Latin America, including Mexico, Colombia, and Peru. Her portfolio covers states, municipalities, water companies, public universities, toll roads, airports among other infrastructure assets. Prior to joining Moody’s in February 2007, Roxana gained financial analysis experience at the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, where she was responsible for the analysis of three campi. Also, she was an internal auditor at L’Oreal México. Roxana holds a Master on Finance and a Bachelor on Accounting and Finance (Honors) of Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM). She also studied at St. Edward’s University in Austin, Texas.
Adrian holds lead analytical responsibility for a portfolio of infrastructure companies and projects in Latin America and the Caribbean. The portfolio covers toll-roads, energy utilities, natural gas pipelines, airports, PPPs, and other infrastructure assets.In his role, Adrian develops and conducts research on sector trends and industry-related topics. He is a regular participant at high-profile market briefings, external conferences and media engagements. Adrian is also a spokesperson for Moody’s in Latin America for environmental, social and governance (ESG) topics. Adrian’s experience in financial analysis spans for 15 years. Before joining Moody’s in2010, he gained experience in investment banking where he executed transactions in the housing and publishing industries. Prior to that, he worked at a credit rating agency in the structured finance, project finance and sub-sovereign teams.Adrian holds a MSc in Economics and Philosophy from London School of Economicsand Political Science (LSE), and a BA in Economics from Instituto Tecnológico y deEstudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM). Adrian is also a CFA charter holder.
Barbara Mattos is a Senior Vice President in Moody’s Corporate Finance Group in São Paulo, Brazil, leading the credit analysis and rating process for a diversified portfolio of Basic Industries companies, including mining, steel, pulp & paper and a few industrials in South America.
Prior to joining Moody’s in 2011, Barbara worked at FRAM Capital as an equity research analyst and at ABN Amro Bank in the strategic planning/investor relations team. She also worked for Wintershall AG and Cambridge Energy Research Associates in Cambridge, MA.
Barbara received both her bachelor’s degree in business administration and a master’s degree in accounting from Fundação Getulio Vargas in Brazill. She holds an MBA from the Yale Graduate School of Management in New Haven, CT. Barbara is a CFA Charterholder
Ceres joined Moody’s in 2006 and is the Associate Managing Director - Latin American Banking.
Ceres came from Standard Bank - Brazil, where she was the RegionalCredit Officer for Latin American Financial Institutions. Ceres, a long-time Brazilian bank industry specialist, was also a credit analyst withBank of America’s Trading Group for over six years, and prior to that she worked for ABN AMRO (Brazil) and BankBoston (Brazil) as a credit analyst for the middle market sector. She holds a B.A. degree from Pontificia Universidade Católica - São Paulo and an MBA in Banking from Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Brazil.