China’s property woes are going from bad to worse. Confidence in the sector is shot, with households pulling out amid a flurry of developer collapses. To date, government stimulus has failed to turn things around. The most likely path forward is for China’s property market to keep falling this year as the government rebalances the economy away from building-led growth. As the country’s broader recovery gains momentum, the real estate market’s multiyear correction will bottom out in 2025 and achieve modest growth thereafter.
But there are no guarantees. Join the Economists at Moody’s Analytics as they dissect the intricacies of this volatile market landscape, offering invaluable insights and forecasts to navigate the uncertainties ahead.
* We will conduct this webinar in English, and provide simultaneous interpretation in Chinese and Japanese.
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SpeakersSteve Cochrane Chief APAC Economist Moody's Analytics
Jesse Rogers Economist Moody's Analytics
Harry Murphy Cruise Economist Moody's Analytics
Sarah Tan Economist Moody's Analytics
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Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational forecast models. In addition, Steve directs consulting projects for clients to help them understand the effect of regional economic developments on their business under baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios. Steve’s expertise lies in providing clear insights into an area’s or region’s strengths, weaknesses and comparative advantages, relative to macro or global economic trends.
A highly-regarded speaker, Dr. Cochrane has provided economic insights at hundreds of engagements over the past 20 years and has been featured on CNBC, CNA, Bloomberg TV, Wall Street Radio, and the PBS News Hour. Through his research and presentations, Steve dissects how various components of the macro and regional economies shape patterns of growth. His extensive expertise on U.S. and global economic issues makes also him a popular speaker at client conferences and executive briefings.
Steve holds a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania and is a Penn Institute for Urban Research Scholar. He also holds a master's degree from the University of Colorado at Denver and a bachelor's degree from the University of California at Davis.
Jesse Rogers, an economist at Moody’s Analytics, covers Latin America and emerging markets in Asia. He focuses on Chile, Peru, trade policy, international capital flows and economic development. Jesse joined Moody’s in 2014, following internships at U.S. Treasury and Institute of International Finance. Earlier, he reported on finance and politics for El Diario New York and worked at the Center for Research and Teaching in Economics, Mexico City.
Harry Murphy Cruise is an economist at Moody’s Analytics, based in Sydney. Harry is responsible for covering the Chinese and Australian economies, as well as managing Moody’s Analytics’ subnational Asia Pacific forecasts. Harry is regularly quoted by international media such as CNBC and Bloomberg. He holds a master’s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a Bachelor of Arts and Commerce from Monash University.
Sarah Tan is an economist at Moody’s Analytics in Singapore. She is responsible for covering economies across the Asia-Pacific region. She holds a post-graduate diploma in EU Competition Law from King’s College London and a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the National University of Singapore. Sarah was previously an economist at Changi Airports International and a senior analyst at the Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore.