Interest Rates in the Short and Long-Run
Join Mark Zandi and colleagues to assess the short and long-term outlook for interest rates. They will consider prospects for the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, corporate bond yields, and mortgage rates. Interest rate forecasting is always an intrepid affair, but it has become even more complicated given likely changes to economic policy under the new administration.
Understanding these dynamics is crucial for both financial and non-financial institutions as they influence a wide range of economic activities and strategic decisions.
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SpeakersMark Zandi Chief Economist Moody's Analytics
Damien Moore Director - Economic Research Moody's Analytics
Martin Wurm Director-Economic Research Moody’s Analytics
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Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, where he directs economic research. Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp., is a leading provider of economic research, data and analytical tools. Dr. Zandi cofounded Economy.com, which Moody’s purchased in 2005.
Dr. Zandi is on the board of directors of MGIC, the nation’s largest private mortgage insurance company, is the lead director of PolicyMap, a data visualization and analytics company used by policymakers and commercial businesses, and is a director of the Coleridge Initiative, a nonprofit that facilitates the exchange of data across governments.
He is a trusted adviser to policymakers and an influential source of economic analysis for businesses, journalists and the public. Dr. Zandi frequently testifies before Congress and conducts regular briefings on the economy for corporate boards, trade associations and policymakers at all levels.
Dr. Zandi is the author of Paying the Price: Ending the Great Recession and Beginning a New American Century, which assesses the monetary and fiscal policy response to the Great Recession. His other book, Financial Shock: A 360º Look at the Subprime Mortgage Implosion, and How to Avoid the Next Financial Crisis, is described by The New York Times as the “clearest guide” to the financial crisis. Dr. Zandi is host of the Inside Economics podcast.
Dr. Zandi earned his BS from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and his PhD at the University of Pennsylvania.
Damien Moore is a Director of economic research at Moody’s Analytics. He covers U.S. financial markets, provides research on finance-related topics, develops market risk models for stress-testing and other applications, and works on various Moody’s Analytics models and tools related to government and corporate finances. He has broad expertise in financial economics including asset pricing, valuation methodologies, portfolio analytics, macro finance, and financial econometrics.
Prior to joining Moody’s Analytics, Damien spent 12 years at the Congressional Budget Office, most recently as the head of the agency’s Financial Analysis Division, where he supervised projects analyzing the federal role in the financial system and the costs of federal financial programs. Under his supervision, the Division produced numerous reports including analyses of policies to rescue the U.S. financial system during the 2008 financial crisis, the federal conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the federal role in housing and mortgage markets, the Pension Benefits Guarantee Corporation, and federal student loan programs. Before his time at the CBO, Damien was a lecturer in the School of Business at the University of Sydney. He taught classes in investments, fixed income securities, and corporate finance.
Damien holds a PhD in economics from Northwestern University as well as undergraduate degrees in economics and accounting from the Australian National University.
Martin A. Wurm is a senior economist with Moody’s Analytics. He covers financial markets, with a focus on market risk, as well as regional economies in the U.S. Before joining Moody’s Analytics, he served as associate professor of Economics at Pacific Lutheran University in Tacoma WA. Dr. Wurm has published on financial market development and informal economies and has conducted local impact studies and forecasts. He holds a doctorate and master’s degree from the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee and completed his undergraduate work at the University of Potsdam and the Ludwig-Maximilian’s University in Munich, Germany.