Conflict in the Middle East: Implications for the Middle East and Asia Pacific
Entering the second month of the conflict, risks to ME and APAC economies mount
Following our recent webinar, Middle East Conflict and the Global Credit Impact, we are pleased to invite you to the regional session that will focus more specifically on the implications for Middle East and Asia Pacific.
Join Moody’s Head of International Economics Gaurav Ganguly and colleagues as they assess the economic consequences of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The discussion will begin with an overview of the conflict and its implications for energy markets, regional security, and economic activity in the Middle East. It will then turn to Asia Pacific, where heavy reliance on Middle Eastern energy imports leaves economies exposed to supply disruptions and price volatility. The team will set out a baseline outlook and explore alternative scenarios, examining how different conflict trajectories could shape growth, inflation, and policy responses across both regions.
Topics
- Overview of the Middle East conflict and its implications for energy markets, commodity prices, and supply chains
- Implications for economies in the Middle East and the Asia-Pacific region, including growth, inflation, and monetary policy
- Scenarios for how the conflict may evolve and eventually wind down, focusing on key risks to monitor
This webinar will be conducted in English, with live Japanese interpretation provided.
Did you miss the previous session?
You can access the on‑demand recording of Middle East Conflict and the Global Credit Impact here.
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SpeakersGaurav Ganguly Head of International Economics Moody's Analytics
Stefan Angrick Head of Japan and Frontier Market Economics Moody's Analytics
Denise Cheok Head of Southeast Asia Economics Moody's Analytics
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Dr. Gaurav Ganguly is Head of International Economics at Moody’s Analytics, where he heads economic research for Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia-Pacific. His research interests include international economics, geopolitics and climate change. Together with his research group, he focuses on the key risks facing the global economy and the ways in which these might manifest. His economic scenarios, forecasts and analysis are used by financial institutions, governments and companies to actively manage risks. He is a well-known public speaker and frequently comments on economic issues across and appears in the media. Based in London, he has taught at various Universities in the UK and held visiting academic positions, including a research fellowship at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change at Imperial College. Gaurav obtained his Master’s degree and a doctorate in Economics from the University of Oxford.
Stefan Angrick is the Head of Japan and Frontier Market Economics at Moody's in Tokyo. He holds a master's degree from Leipzig University and a PhD from the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies in Tokyo. He has previously held positions with Oxford Economics, the Asian Development Bank Institute, the Bank of Finland, and Keio University.
Denise Cheok is the Head of Southeast Asia Economics, based in Singapore. She is responsible for forecasting and analyzing economies in Southeast Asia. In her current role, Denise advises global financial institutions and corporations on macroeconomic risks to the region. She is cited in international and local media such as the Wall Street Journal, Reuters, and Nikkei Asia. Denise holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the National University of Singapore and a master’s degree in Economics from the University of British Columbia. Prior to joining Moody’s, she worked as a trade policy researcher at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation.