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Key focus areas:
Agenda
In Conversation with Professor Danny Quah, Dean, LKY School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore
Global Debt Dynamics
Fiscal trade-offs between consolidation and urgent spending priorities will determine long-term government debt trajectories. Using the latest Moody’s data, this session will cover trends and projections for government debt across advanced economies, emerging markets, and frontier markets.
Sovereign Outlook
- How are Asian governments faring on sovereign debt consolidation? Do they have capacity to address climate, social and defense risks?
- How will shifts in the global monetary cycle affect debt affordability?
- What is the growth outlook for major economies in the region (eg China, Japan)?
- How will the outcome of the US elections affect the region?
Themes:
As growth and inflation stabilize, can policymakers refocus efforts on fiscal repair? |
• What are the emerging challenges to fiscal consolidation in the region? • How will climate finance impact government budgets in the region? • Over the long-term, will structurally higher inflation mean continued high interest rates, and what would that imply for APAC growth prospects? |
How will geopolitical trends, including the US election outcome, impact credit risk in the region? |
• What does the US election outcome imply for regional hot spots, such as the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Straits? • Who are the key winners and losers from shifting trade patterns? • Will military expenditures rise and can budgets accommodate? |
Can the advent of GenAI counter structural challenges from ageing and slowing productivity in APAC? | • Are governments doing enough to prepare for the impact of AI? |
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Danny Quah is Li Ka Shing Professor in Economics and Dean at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, NUS. His work is organized around world order, economic growth and development, and inequality and income mobility. He analyses the supply and demand of international systems, analysing the preferences of Great Powers and the needs of the global community. His research on income mobility challenges conventional narratives on inequality, highlighting the broad diversity of economic experiences across nations. As Commissioner on the Spence-Stiglitz Commission and LSE’s Global Economic Governance Commission, and member of World Bank President's Economic Advisory Panel, he seeks to influence global economic transformation. He holds advisory roles with organisations like the World Economic Forum, UNDP, and a range of agencies and ministries, helping shape global economic and geopolitical discourse.
He is the author of “The Global Economy’s Shifting Centre of Gravity”.
Danny Quah is Li Ka Shing Professor in Economics and Dean at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, NUS. His work is organized around world order, economic growth and development, and inequality and income mobility. He analyses the supply and demand of international systems, analysing the preferences of Great Powers and the needs of the global community. His research on income mobility challenges conventional narratives on inequality, highlighting the broad diversity of economic experiences across nations. As Commissioner on the Spence-Stiglitz Commission and LSE’s Global Economic Governance Commission, and member of World Bank President's Economic Advisory Panel, he seeks to influence global economic transformation. He holds advisory roles with organisations like the World Economic Forum, UNDP, and a range of agencies and ministries, helping shape global economic and geopolitical discourse.
He is the author of “The Global Economy’s Shifting Centre of Gravity”.
Gene Fang is an Associate Managing Director in the Sovereign and sub-sovereign Ratings Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, he manages the teams responsible for sovereign credit ratings in the Asia Pacific region and credit research on Chinese regional- and local governments.
Before joining Moody’s, Gene worked as an investment banker, covering financial institutions for J.P. Morgan and Citigroup in Hong Kong and Singapore. In this role, he managed client relationships across Asia and advised on debt, equity, and M&A transactions. Gene graduated from Columbia University in political science. He also holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a Master in Public Policy from Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government.
David Rogovic is an Vice President - Senior Analyst in Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group based in New York. David has lead and back-up analyst responsibilities for a number of sovereign and supranational credits in Africa as well as Latin America and the Caribbean. David’s prior experience includes the best part of a decade analyzing sovereign credit risk in Western and Eastern Europe, Russia, Turkey and Asia with J.P. Morgan, Nomura Asset Management and Roubini Global Economics, as well as an earlier stint with S&P’s financial institutions division. David is a Fulbright scholar (Economics Institute, Zagreb) and was awarded a Master of Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University and Bachelor of Arts (Economics) from Pace University.
Deborah Tan is a Vice President within Moody’s Credit Strategy and Standards Group. Based in Singapore, she leads Moody’s thematic research for India, Southeast Asia and Australia with a focus on producing forward-looking macro-credit insights and outlooks. Her responsibilities also include designing scenario analysis to test the resilience of Moody’s rating methodologies and assessing the impact of these scenarios.
Prior to joining Moody’s in 2019, Deborah was a macroeconomist at BHP Billiton where she covered both India and the US and led the Group’s interest rate, FX and long-term growth projections for key markets. She has also worked at the Monetary Authority of Singapore and PWC.
Deborah holds a master’s in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a bachelor of science in Economics from University College London.
Martin Petch is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific region – including China, Australia, Hong Kong - as well as credits in Central Asia and the Caucasus. Martin joined Moody’s in 2017, after working as the Manager of Economic Analysis and Research with BHP Billiton covering its key commodity markets, China, Japan and India, economies in the South East Asian region, and the major advanced economies.
Martin also held various positions with the Australian Commonwealth Treasury, the Commonwealth Bank and the Australian Industry Group.
Martin was a graduate in Economics from the University of Western Australia.
Marcus Yiu is an Analyst with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he supports lead analysts in covering a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific and Central Asia regions.
Marcus joined Moody’s in January 2020, after working at J.P. Morgan Asset Management as a Market Analyst based in Hong Kong. There, he performed macroeconomic and market research with a focus on Asia and took part in generating asset allocation ideas for clients.
Marcus graduated with a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the University of Warwick.
Anushka Shah is a Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, Anushka covers a number of countries in Asia Pacific, including Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan, the Maldives and Mongolia.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Anushka worked for more than seven years at Citi Investment Research in Bombay, where her focus was on the South Asian economies.
Anushka has a Master’s in Economics and Finance from the University of Warwick and a Bachelor’s in Economics from the University of Bombay.
Gene Fang is an Associate Managing Director in the Sovereign and sub-sovereign Ratings Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, he manages the teams responsible for sovereign credit ratings in the Asia Pacific region and credit research on Chinese regional- and local governments.
Before joining Moody’s, Gene worked as an investment banker, covering financial institutions for J.P. Morgan and Citigroup in Hong Kong and Singapore. In this role, he managed client relationships across Asia and advised on debt, equity, and M&A transactions. Gene graduated from Columbia University in political science. He also holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a Master in Public Policy from Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government.
Gene Fang is an Associate Managing Director in the Sovereign and sub-sovereign Ratings Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, he manages the teams responsible for sovereign credit ratings in the Asia Pacific region and credit research on Chinese regional- and local governments.
Before joining Moody’s, Gene worked as an investment banker, covering financial institutions for J.P. Morgan and Citigroup in Hong Kong and Singapore. In this role, he managed client relationships across Asia and advised on debt, equity, and M&A transactions. Gene graduated from Columbia University in political science. He also holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a Master in Public Policy from Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government.
Danny Quah is Li Ka Shing Professor in Economics and Dean at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, NUS. His work is organized around world order, economic growth and development, and inequality and income mobility. He analyses the supply and demand of international systems, analysing the preferences of Great Powers and the needs of the global community. His research on income mobility challenges conventional narratives on inequality, highlighting the broad diversity of economic experiences across nations. As Commissioner on the Spence-Stiglitz Commission and LSE’s Global Economic Governance Commission, and member of World Bank President's Economic Advisory Panel, he seeks to influence global economic transformation. He holds advisory roles with organisations like the World Economic Forum, UNDP, and a range of agencies and ministries, helping shape global economic and geopolitical discourse.
He is the author of “The Global Economy’s Shifting Centre of Gravity”.
David Rogovic is an Vice President - Senior Analyst in Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group based in New York. David has lead and back-up analyst responsibilities for a number of sovereign and supranational credits in Africa as well as Latin America and the Caribbean. David’s prior experience includes the best part of a decade analyzing sovereign credit risk in Western and Eastern Europe, Russia, Turkey and Asia with J.P. Morgan, Nomura Asset Management and Roubini Global Economics, as well as an earlier stint with S&P’s financial institutions division. David is a Fulbright scholar (Economics Institute, Zagreb) and was awarded a Master of Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University and Bachelor of Arts (Economics) from Pace University.
Deborah Tan is a Vice President within Moody’s Credit Strategy and Standards Group. Based in Singapore, she leads Moody’s thematic research for India, Southeast Asia and Australia with a focus on producing forward-looking macro-credit insights and outlooks. Her responsibilities also include designing scenario analysis to test the resilience of Moody’s rating methodologies and assessing the impact of these scenarios.
Prior to joining Moody’s in 2019, Deborah was a macroeconomist at BHP Billiton where she covered both India and the US and led the Group’s interest rate, FX and long-term growth projections for key markets. She has also worked at the Monetary Authority of Singapore and PWC.
Deborah holds a master’s in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a bachelor of science in Economics from University College London.
Martin Petch is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific region – including China, Australia, Hong Kong - as well as credits in Central Asia and the Caucasus. Martin joined Moody’s in 2017, after working as the Manager of Economic Analysis and Research with BHP Billiton covering its key commodity markets, China, Japan and India, economies in the South East Asian region, and the major advanced economies.
Martin also held various positions with the Australian Commonwealth Treasury, the Commonwealth Bank and the Australian Industry Group.
Martin was a graduate in Economics from the University of Western Australia.
Marcus Yiu is an Analyst with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he supports lead analysts in covering a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific and Central Asia regions.
Marcus joined Moody’s in January 2020, after working at J.P. Morgan Asset Management as a Market Analyst based in Hong Kong. There, he performed macroeconomic and market research with a focus on Asia and took part in generating asset allocation ideas for clients.
Marcus graduated with a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the University of Warwick.
Anushka Shah is a Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, Anushka covers a number of countries in Asia Pacific, including Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan, the Maldives and Mongolia.
Prior to joining Moody’s, Anushka worked for more than seven years at Citi Investment Research in Bombay, where her focus was on the South Asian economies.
Anushka has a Master’s in Economics and Finance from the University of Warwick and a Bachelor’s in Economics from the University of Bombay.
Gene Fang is an Associate Managing Director in the Sovereign and sub-sovereign Ratings Group in Asia. Based in Singapore, he manages the teams responsible for sovereign credit ratings in the Asia Pacific region and credit research on Chinese regional- and local governments.
Before joining Moody’s, Gene worked as an investment banker, covering financial institutions for J.P. Morgan and Citigroup in Hong Kong and Singapore. In this role, he managed client relationships across Asia and advised on debt, equity, and M&A transactions. Gene graduated from Columbia University in political science. He also holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a Master in Public Policy from Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government.