The economy has successfully navigated through a period of extraordinarily high inflation and interest rates and avoided recession. Whether this good performance continues longer-run depends on multiple forces, including demographic trends, productivity growth, deglobalization, and the outcome of the elections. And of course the economy can be derailed at any moment by any of a number of potential shocks, ranging from geopolitical flashpoints to careening real estate markets.
 

We're coming to Washington D.C. to discuss all of this. Join Chief Economist, Mark Zandi, and economists from across Moody's Analytics as they provide their insights and answer your questions in-person.

This webinar provided expert insight and trend analysis of CRE lending in the age of COVID-19.

Moody's held an interactive discussion with Jamie Woodwell, Vice President, Research and Economics at the Mortgage Bankers Association, to discuss the latest trends for loans supported by multifamily and commercial properties, given COVID-19.

In this session, panelists presented an in-depth analysis of CRE loan performance and credit risks under Moody’s latest economic and real estate scenarios. In a case study format, we illustrated how to translate an economic outlook into loan-level measures of credit risk to help you better quantify and manage the performance of your CRE portfolio.

Credit loss forecasting models are only as effective as the data on which they were built, and few, if any, were designed to capture the effects a sudden pandemic would unleash on the U.S. economy. In times like this, how are financial institutions determining the right amount to set aside for future credit losses? In this discussion, panelists presented a case study on an approach to quantitatively model credit risk in a range of economic scenarios, and adjust the results to capture information that models may not consider.