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Agenda15:00GMT
Creditworthiness in the crossfire: geopolitics, resource limits, and the role of official support and reforms
Sub-Saharan Africa is exposed to many risks stemming from slowing global growth potentially affecting commodity prices to exiting tight financing conditions and expositions to various ESG risks. Reliance on external funding will exacerbate macroeconomic and exchange rate volatility in some countries.
- Why is debt sustainability likely to remain a key issue for many SSA countries?
- How will SSA sovereigns manage elevated liquidity risk due to limited financing options and challenging market conditions?
- Why is exposure to social risk likely to continue to increase in many SSA countries exacerbating social tension and potentially political risk?
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SpeakersJohn Walsh Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group Moody's Ratings
Aurelien Mali Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
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John is lead analyst on a portfolio of sovereigns and development banks in sub-Saharan Africa based out of London.
John joined Moody’s in 2022 after nearly a decade of experience in policy development, debt management, credit analysis, and monetary policy and trading in the Canadian public service and central bank. John holds a Masters in Arts (Economics) from Queen’s University in Ontario, Canada and an ungraduated degree in economics and philosophy from St. Francis Xavier University in Nova Scotia, Canada.
Aurélien Mali is currently Vice President Senior Credit Officer. He acts as the firm’s expert in Africa. His position is a combined lead analyst and analytical outreach/credit ambassador role. As a member of the Sovereign Risk Group since August 2002, he was involved in Moody’s sovereign ratings in Europe and the Middle East at the beginning of his career. Over the last 8 years, he has been at the forefront of Moody’s growing footprint in Africa. He has been sovereign lead or backup analyst for almost all sovereign issuers and multilateral development banks we rate in Africa. Aurelien was relocated to our Dubai office early 2013 from our London office. Aurelien manages a research programme that supports the development of Moody’s reputation for analytical insight and excellence. He also assumes a greater role in participating in regular Moody’s and third-party conferences on the continent, Africa-related investor briefings, and undertaking analytical outreach to inform and explain Moody’s credit judgments. Aurelien also supports other Moody’s franchises using his unique experience and visibility across multiple sectors and asset classes in the region. Finally, he remains the lead/backup sovereign analyst for few countries including Nigeria, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola and South Africa. Aurélien holds a BSc in Economics and a postgraduate degree (DEA) in Money, Finance and Banking from the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris.
John is lead analyst on a portfolio of sovereigns and development banks in sub-Saharan Africa based out of London.
John joined Moody’s in 2022 after nearly a decade of experience in policy development, debt management, credit analysis, and monetary policy and trading in the Canadian public service and central bank. John holds a Masters in Arts (Economics) from Queen’s University in Ontario, Canada and an ungraduated degree in economics and philosophy from St. Francis Xavier University in Nova Scotia, Canada.
Aurélien Mali is currently Vice President Senior Credit Officer. He acts as the firm’s expert in Africa. His position is a combined lead analyst and analytical outreach/credit ambassador role. As a member of the Sovereign Risk Group since August 2002, he was involved in Moody’s sovereign ratings in Europe and the Middle East at the beginning of his career. Over the last 8 years, he has been at the forefront of Moody’s growing footprint in Africa. He has been sovereign lead or backup analyst for almost all sovereign issuers and multilateral development banks we rate in Africa. Aurelien was relocated to our Dubai office early 2013 from our London office. Aurelien manages a research programme that supports the development of Moody’s reputation for analytical insight and excellence. He also assumes a greater role in participating in regular Moody’s and third-party conferences on the continent, Africa-related investor briefings, and undertaking analytical outreach to inform and explain Moody’s credit judgments. Aurelien also supports other Moody’s franchises using his unique experience and visibility across multiple sectors and asset classes in the region. Finally, he remains the lead/backup sovereign analyst for few countries including Nigeria, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola and South Africa. Aurélien holds a BSc in Economics and a postgraduate degree (DEA) in Money, Finance and Banking from the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris.